What is the current probability for "Lowest temperature in Austin on Jul 2, 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Lowest temperature in Austin on Jul 2, 2026?": 73° to 74° 98%, 68° or below 6%, 71° to 72° 5% (top 3 of 6 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/9/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXLOWTAUS-26JUL02. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event6 outcomes

Lowest temperature in Austin on Jul 2, 2026?

·Climate and Weather·ends Jul 9, 2026

vol cum

$15k

vol 24h

$10.6k

outcomes

ends

Jul 9, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 6

marketselected outcome

73° to 74°

rank #1

United States

98¢

▲ 60.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$4.2k

vol 24h

$3.4k

spread

0.02

ends

Jul 9, 2026

If the minimum temperature recorded at Austin for Jul 2, 2026, is between 73-74° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 1, 2026opencloses · Jul 9, 2026

73° to 74° · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history