What is the current probability for "Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (7/19 - 7/25)"?

"Yes" is currently 99% on Kalshi, refreshed continuously from the source's live prices.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 10/23/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXMAMDANIEO-26JUL25. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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marketsingle market

Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (7/19 - 7/25)

·Politics

United States

99%

▲ 85.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$11.7k

vol 24h

$11.3k

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 23, 2026

Yes 99¢

No 1¢

If the number of non-emergency executive orders signed by Zohran Mamdani is above 0 from Jul 19, 2026 to Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 19, 2026closedresolved · Jul 20, 2026

Above 0 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · 24h windows

no volume history