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event9 outcomes
What will Mamdani’s NYC favorability be in Siena’s next poll?
vol cum
$29
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
9
ends
Apr 1, 2027
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marketselected outcome
At least 56%
rank #1
United States
88¢
vol cum
$16
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.07
ends
Apr 1, 2027
If the percentage of New York City respondents who say they have a favorable opinion of Zohran Mamdani in Siena University’s poll is at least 56% in the first such poll released after Aug 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Aug 13, 2026opencloses · Apr 1, 2027
At least 56% · prices over time
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