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California's 4th District margin of victory
·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027vol cum
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vol 24h
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outcomes
6
ends
Nov 3, 2027
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Mike Thompson, 10+ pts
rank #1
United States
0¢
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$0
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.10
ends
Nov 3, 2027
If Mike Thompson wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 4th District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Sep 8, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027
Mike Thompson, 10+ pts · prices over time
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