event7 outcomes

California's 4th District margin of victory

Kalshi·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

As of 18:39 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 7 markets in “California's 4th District margin of victory” on Kalshi are “Mike Thompson, 5+ pts” at 66%, “Mike Thompson, 10+ pts” at 41% and “Mike Thompson, 1+ pts” at 0%. The event has $30 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Kalshi.

vol cum

$690

vol 24h

$30

outcomes

ends

Nov 3, 2027

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showing 5 of 7

marketselected outcome

Mike Thompson, 5+ pts

rank #1

United States

66¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$490

vol 24h

$30

spread

0.03

ends

Nov 3, 2027

If Mike Thompson wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 4th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 8, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027

Mike Thompson, 5+ pts · prices over time

−24h

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