event11 outcomes

California's 3rd District margin of victory

Kalshi·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

As of 21:11 UTC on 24 Sep 2026, the highest-priced of the 11 markets in “California's 3rd District margin of victory” on Kalshi are “Bera, 14+ pts” at 81%, “Bera, 17+ pts” at 73% and “Bera, 23+ pts” at 47%. The event has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum

$59

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Nov 3, 2027

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Bera, 14+ pts

rank #1

United States

81¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$15

vol 24h

spread

0.11

ends

Nov 3, 2027

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 3rd District by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 1, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027

Bera, 14+ pts · prices over time

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