event11 outcomes

California's 33rd District margin of victory

Kalshi·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

As of 17:56 UTC on 16 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 11 markets in “California's 33rd District margin of victory” on Kalshi are “Aguilar, 20+ pts” at 55%, “Aguilar, 23+ pts” at 42% and “Aguilar, 11+ pts” at 0%. The event has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket and Kalshi.

vol cum

$400

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Nov 3, 2027

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showing 5 of 11

marketselected outcome

Aguilar, 20+ pts

rank #1

United States

55¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$200

vol 24h

spread

0.11

ends

Nov 3, 2027

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 33rd District by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 1, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027

Aguilar, 20+ pts · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history