event9 outcomes

California's 23rd District margin of victory

Kalshi·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

As of 15:45 UTC on 19 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 9 markets in “California's 23rd District margin of victory” on Kalshi are “Obernolte, 8+ pts” at 69%, “Obernolte, 17+ pts” at 33% (+33pp in 24h) and “Obernolte, 11+ pts” at 0%. The event has $10 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Polymarket and Kalshi.

vol cum

$210

vol 24h

$10

outcomes

ends

Nov 3, 2027

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showing 5 of 9

marketselected outcome

Obernolte, 8+ pts

rank #1

United States

69¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$200

vol 24h

spread

0.11

ends

Nov 3, 2027

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 23rd District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 1, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027

Obernolte, 8+ pts · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history