event9 outcomes

California's 45th District margin of victory

Kalshi·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

As of 23:07 UTC on 15 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 9 markets in “California's 45th District margin of victory” on Kalshi are “Tran, 10+ pts” at 68%, “Tran, 13+ pts” at 51% and “Tran, 16+ pts” at 32%. The event has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Gemini.

vol cum

$601

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Nov 3, 2027

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showing 5 of 9

marketselected outcome

Tran, 10+ pts

rank #1

United States

68¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$200

vol 24h

spread

0.11

ends

Nov 3, 2027

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 45th District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 1, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027

Tran, 10+ pts · prices over time

−24h

now

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no volume history