opentrade on Kalshi ↗

event10 outcomes

California Governor margin of victory

Kalshi·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

As of 08:59 UTC on 5 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 10 markets in “California Governor margin of victory” on Kalshi are “Democrats, 15+ pts” at 100% (+1pp in 24h), “Democrats, 12+ pts” at 99% and “Democrats, 9+ pts” at 99%. The event has $80.1k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Gemini and Kalshi.

vol cum

$133.2k

vol 24h

$80.1k

outcomes

10

ends

Nov 3, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 10

marketselected outcome

Democrats, 15+ pts

rank #1

United States

100¢

▲ 0.6pp

24h change

vol cum

$46.9k

vol 24h

$34.5k

spread

0.00

ends

Nov 3, 2027

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in California by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 14, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027

Democrats, 15+ pts · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata

Polymarket

California Governor Election Margin of Victory

Becerra 35-40%1¢▼ 2.3ppPerson A50¢Other50¢

$100 24h · 11 markets

Gemini

California Governor Winner

Xavier Becerra99¢Steve Hilton5¢Matt Mahan0¢

$1.8k 24h · 9 markets

Kalshi

Nevada Governor margin of victory

Ford, 6+ pts95¢▲ 5.7ppFord, 1+ pts99¢▲ 0.7ppFord, 5+ pts98¢▲ 6.8pp

$19.3k 24h · 12 markets

Polymarket

California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

Ebie Lynch1¢▲ 0.6ppDavid Fennell0¢▼ 0.3ppJosh Fryday1¢▲ 0.1pp

$591 24h · 37 markets

Kalshi

Michigan Governor margin of victory

Democrats, 5+ pts99¢▲ 17.0ppDemocrats, 8+ pts97¢▲ 1.2ppDemocrats, 14+ pts7¢▼ 15.9pp

$6.8k 24h · 7 markets

Polymarket

California Governor Election: Turnout

<10.5M10¢▼ 7.1pp12.5M-13M26¢· 0.0pp12M-12.5M21¢▼ 3.0pp

$80 24h · 10 markets