event10 outcomes

Kansas's 4th District margin of victory

Kalshi·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

As of 00:29 UTC on 17 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 10 markets in “Kansas's 4th District margin of victory” on Kalshi are “Estes, 8+ pts” at 82%, “Estes, 11+ pts” at 65% and “Estes, 17+ pts” at 54%. The event has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum

$3.5k

vol 24h

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ends

Nov 3, 2027

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Estes, 8+ pts

rank #1

United States

82¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$880

vol 24h

spread

0.08

ends

Nov 3, 2027

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kansas's 4th District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · May 5, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027

Estes, 8+ pts · prices over time

−24h

now

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