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event9 outcomes
Missouri's 4th District margin of victory
vol cum
$6k
vol 24h
$848
outcomes
9
ends
Nov 3, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 9
marketselected outcome
Republicans, 5+ pts
rank #1
United States
87¢
▲ 9.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$47
vol 24h
$6
spread
0.07
ends
Nov 3, 2027
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Missouri's 4th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · May 5, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027
Republicans, 5+ pts · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
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