event8 outcomes

New York's 4th District margin of victory

Kalshi·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

As of 03:43 UTC on 9 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 8 markets in “New York's 4th District margin of victory” on Kalshi are “Gillen, 3+ pts” at 86%, “Gillen, 6+ pts” at 75% and “Gillen, 9+ pts” at 74%. The event has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum

$7.5k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Nov 3, 2027

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Gillen, 3+ pts

rank #1

United States

86¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$620

vol 24h

spread

0.10

ends

Nov 3, 2027

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 4th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · May 5, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027

Gillen, 3+ pts · prices over time

−24h

now

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no volume history