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event11 outcomes

Oregon Senate margin of victory

Kalshi·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

As of 20:36 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 11 markets in “Oregon Senate margin of victory” on Kalshi are “Merkley, 13+ pts” at 89%, “Merkley, 15+ pts” at 88% and “Merkley, 17+ pts” at 81% (-10pp in 24h). The event has $827 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Gemini.

vol cum

$2.5k

vol 24h

$827

outcomes

11

ends

Nov 3, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 11

marketselected outcome

Merkley, 13+ pts

rank #1

United States

89¢

▲ 89.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$600

vol 24h

$600

spread

0.10

ends

Nov 3, 2027

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Oregon by 13 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Apr 28, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027

Merkley, 13+ pts · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata

Polymarket

Oregon Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30-35%8¢▲ 4.7ppDemocrat 10-15%9¢▼ 6.0ppDemocrat 15-20%20¢▲ 1.0pp

$89 24h · 11 markets

Kalshi

Oregon Senate winner?

David Brock Smith2¢▲ 0.7ppJeff Merkley99¢· 0.0pp

$512 24h · 2 markets

Gemini

Oregon US Senate Winner

Jeff Merkley98¢· 0.0ppDavid Brock Smith4¢David Burch0¢

$0 24h · 8 markets

Polymarket

Oregon Senate Election Winner

Jeff Merkley (D)98¢▼ 0.2ppDavid Brock Smith (R)2¢· 0.0ppPerson A—

$0 24h · 13 markets

Kalshi

Oregon State Senate winner?

Republican party2¢· 0.0ppDemocratic party0¢

$0 24h · 2 markets

Polymarket

Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory

Person A50¢Other50¢Kotek 6-9%20¢· 0.0pp

$0 24h · 12 markets