event9 outcomes

Pennsylvania's 15th District margin of victory

Kalshi·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

As of 19:44 UTC on 10 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 9 markets in “Pennsylvania's 15th District margin of victory” on Kalshi are “Thompson, 35+ pts” at 49%, “Thompson, 41+ pts” at 24% and “Thompson, 38+ pts” at 23%. The event has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 19 related events on Polymarket and Kalshi.

vol cum

$650

vol 24h

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ends

Nov 3, 2027

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Thompson, 35+ pts

rank #1

United States

49¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$50

vol 24h

spread

0.10

ends

Nov 3, 2027

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 15th District by 35 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · May 5, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027

Thompson, 35+ pts · prices over time

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