What is the current probability for "Texas's 2nd District margin of victory"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Texas's 2nd District margin of victory": Republicans, 11+ pts 0%, Republicans, 14+ pts 0%, Republicans, 17+ pts 0% (top 3 of 9 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 11/3/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXMIDTERMMOV-TX02R. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event9 outcomes

Texas's 2nd District margin of victory

·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

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Republicans, 11+ pts

rank #1

United States

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0.03

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Nov 3, 2027

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 2nd District by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · May 5, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027

Republicans, 11+ pts · prices over time

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