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event9 outcomes

Texas's 4th District margin of victory

Kalshi·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

As of 11:12 UTC on 19 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 9 markets in “Texas's 4th District margin of victory” on Kalshi are “Fallon, 11+ pts” at 85% (+9pp in 24h), “Fallon, 8+ pts” at 83% (+4pp in 24h) and “Fallon, 17+ pts” at 49%. The event has $15 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum
$1k
vol 24h
$15
outcomes
9
ends
Nov 3, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 9
marketselected outcome
Fallon, 11+ pts
rank #1
United States
85¢
▲ 9.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$186
vol 24h
$10
spread
0.07
ends
Nov 3, 2027

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Texas's 4th District by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · May 5, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027
Fallon, 11+ pts · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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