What is the current probability for "How many lead service lines will Michigan replace in 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "How many lead service lines will Michigan replace in 2026?": Above 25,000 89%, Above 30,000 84%, Above 27,500 78% (top 3 of 7 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 29, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXMILEAD-26AUG17. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event7 outcomes

How many lead service lines will Michigan replace in 2026?

·Elections·ends Sep 29, 2027

vol cum

$12.9k

vol 24h

$12.7k

outcomes

ends

Sep 29, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 7

marketselected outcome

Above 25,000

rank #1

United States

89¢

▲ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$2k

vol 24h

$1.8k

spread

0.09

ends

Sep 29, 2027

If the number of lead and galvanized-previously-connected-to-lead (GPCL) service lines fully replaced statewide by Michigan community water supplies, as compiled and published by EGLE from the annual service line replacement reports required by Michigan's Lead and Copper Rule is above 25,000 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 17, 2026opencloses · Sep 29, 2027

Above 25,000 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history