What is the current probability for "What price will Lighter hit in 2026?"?

The contested Polymarket outcomes for "What price will Lighter hit in 2026?" are ↑ $6 53%, ↓ $3 44%, ↓ $2 41% — 5 of 14 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Jan 1, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from polymarket's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/polymarket/133604. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Polymarket

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event14 outcomes

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

·Crypto·ends Jan 1, 2027

vol cum

$811.5k

vol 24h

$11.7k

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 14

What price will Lighter hit before 2027?

RecurringLighterCrypto PricesCryptoHit PriceYearly

marketselected outcome

↑ $4

rank #1 · resolved: yes

100¢

▲ 15.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$151.2k

vol 24h

$5.5k

spread

0.00

ends

Jan 1, 2027

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) between December 30, 2025, 14:25 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “High” prices available at: https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Lighter LIT/USDC price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.

timeline

opened · Dec 30, 2025closedresolved · Sep 3, 2026

↑ $4 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history