What is the current probability for "When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?": Before 2035 94%, Before 2030 82%, Before 2029 47% (top 3 of 5 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Jan 1, 2035.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXMILLENNIUM-25. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event5 outcomes

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

·Science and Technology·ends Jan 1, 2035

vol cum

$261.1k

vol 24h

$143.5k

outcomes

ends

Jan 1, 2035

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Before 2035

rank #1

94¢

▲ 19.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$2k

vol 24h

$31

spread

0.08

ends

Jan 1, 2035

If the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for any unsolved Millennium Prize Problem before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Dec 20, 2025opencloses · Jan 1, 2035

Before 2035 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history