pdatanews303
opentrade on Kalshi ↗
event9 outcomes

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 26, 2026 (Vercel)

Kalshi·Science and Technology·ends Nov 3, 2026

As of 04:42 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 9 markets in “Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 26, 2026 (Vercel)” on Kalshi are “Above 3.9%” at 80%, “Above 11.3%” at 0% and “Above 13.9%” at 0%. The event has $4.6k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 17 related events on Kalshi and Manifold.

vol cum
$4.6k
vol 24h
$4.6k
outcomes
9
ends
Nov 3, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 9
marketselected outcome
Above 3.9%
rank #1
80¢
▲ 80.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$4.6k
vol 24h
$4.6k
spread
0.11
ends
Nov 3, 2026

If the Moonshot AI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 26, 2026 is above 3.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Oct 22, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2026
Above 3.9% · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata
Kalshikalshi
Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 24, 2026 (Vercel)
Above 6.0%69¢· 0.0ppAbove 8.6%55¢· 0.0ppAbove 11.7%25¢· 0.0pp
+6 others
$0 24h · 9 markets
Manifoldmanifold
October 2026 AI model releases
Claude Fable 5.545¢▼ 24.0ppKimi K3.1 (or any Kimi model)95¢▲ 10.2ppGPT-6.2 Sol36¢▲ 5.8pp
+24 others
M1.5k 24h · 27 markets
Kalshikalshi
Anthropic share of spend on Oct 26, 2026 (Vercel)
Above 29.9%87¢▲ 87.0ppAbove 42.4%1¢▲ 1.0ppAbove 31.8%0¢· 0.0pp
+6 others
$20 24h · 9 markets
Manifoldmanifold
Best AI time horizon by August 2026, per METR?
16 to 24 hours94¢· 0.0pp>=24 hours3¢· 0.0pp<6 hours1¢· 0.0pp
+3 others
M0 24h · 6 markets
Kalshikalshi
Anthropic share of spend on Oct 24, 2026 (Vercel)
Above 42.8%3¢· 0.0ppAbove 30.7%0¢· 0.0ppAbove 32.9%0¢· 0.0pp
+6 others
$0 24h · 9 markets
Kalshikalshi
OpenAI share of spend on Oct 26, 2026 (Vercel)
Above 13.0%79¢▲ 79.0ppAbove 12.7%0¢· 0.0ppAbove 13.6%0¢· 0.0pp
+6 others
$1 24h · 9 markets