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markets·Economy
opentrade on Kalshi ↗
marketsingle market

Montreal single-family home price below C$625K in 2026?

Kalshi·Economy
Canada
M
54%
▲ 54.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$2.2k
vol 24h
$2.2k
spread
0.01
ends
Jan 12, 2027
Yes 54¢
No 46¢

If the the median price of single-family homes in the Montreal Census Metropolitan Area in 2026 is below C$625,000 in any Quebec Professional Association of Real Estate Brokers monthly release after Issuance and covering a month from Issuance through December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Underlying is the median price of single-family homes in the Montreal Census Metropolitan Area, based on Centris residential real estate broker data and reported by the Quebec Professional Association of Real Estate Brokers, also known as QPAREB or APCIQ. The market will not use average sale price, median price for condominiums, median price for plexes, all-property residential price, City of Montreal-only price, annual average price, or any other housing price measure. Monthly releases covering periods before this market’s Issuance will not count toward resolution, even if they report an average residential sale price below C$625,000. The market will resolve based on the first published QPAREB/APCIQ figure for the relevant monthly release. Later revisions, corrections, or restatements will not affect resolution.

timeline
opened · Jun 16, 2026opencloses · Jan 12, 2027
prices over time · Below C$625,000 highlighted
−24h
now
volume · 24h windows
no volume history