What is the current probability for "Will a New York Times reporter be federally charged over Air Force One reporting?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Will a New York Times reporter be federally charged over Air Force One reporting?": Before Jan 1, 2027 10%, Before Sep 1, 2026 3% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 1/8/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXNYTCHARGE-27JAN01. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Will a New York Times reporter be federally charged over Air Force One reporting?

·Politics·ends Jan 8, 2027

vol cum

$12.9k

vol 24h

$10.6k

outcomes

ends

Jan 8, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Before Jan 1, 2027

rank #1

United States

10¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.9k

vol 24h

$57

spread

0.01

ends

Jan 8, 2027

If any New York Times reporter whose alleged offense arises from newsgathering, publication, source protection, or compliance with investigative demands concerning the Times’s July 2026 reporting on the security of the Qatari-donated aircraft used as Air Force One has been formally charged with any crime in federal court after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 21, 2026opencloses · Jan 8, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history