What is the current probability for "Will OpenAI announce a Millennium Prize solution?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Will OpenAI announce a Millennium Prize solution?": Before Oct 1, 2026 92%, Before Jan 1, 2027 91% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Jan 8, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXOPENAIMILLENNIUM-27. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Will OpenAI announce a Millennium Prize solution?

·Science and Technology·ends Jan 8, 2027

vol cum

$11.9k

vol 24h

$11.9k

outcomes

ends

Jan 8, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Before Oct 1, 2026

rank #1

92¢

▲ 92.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$7.7k

vol 24h

$7.7k

spread

0.02

ends

Oct 8, 2026

If OpenAI announces a complete solution, developed by OpenAI or researchers collaborating directly with OpenAI on that solution, to one of the six Millennium Prize Problems unsolved as of September 5, 2026 before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 8, 2026opencloses · Oct 8, 2026

Before Oct 1, 2026 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history