What is the current probability for "OpenAI market share this week"?

Current Kalshi odds for "OpenAI market share this week": Above 16.5% 69%, Above 17.5% 54%, Above 17.8% 48% (top 3 of 9 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 12, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXOPENSHARE-26OCT12. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event9 outcomes

OpenAI market share this week

·Science and Technology·ends Oct 12, 2026

vol cum

$15.2k

vol 24h

$13.3k

outcomes

ends

Oct 12, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 9

marketselected outcome

Above 16.5%

rank #1

69¢

▲ 69.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$3k

vol 24h

$3k

spread

0.03

ends

Oct 12, 2026

If OpenAI scores above 16.5% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 5, 2026opencloses · Oct 12, 2026

Above 16.5% · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history