What is the current probability for "Marvel: Sadie Sink cast as next Jean Grey?"?

"Yes" is currently 83% on Kalshi, refreshed continuously from the source's live prices.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 1/1/2028.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXPERFORMROLEJEANGREY. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

marketsingle market

Marvel: Sadie Sink cast as next Jean Grey?

·Culture

83%

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$119k

vol 24h

$5k

spread

0.03

ends

Jan 1, 2028

Yes 83¢

No 17¢

If Sadie Sink performs/ is announced as Jean Grey in The first Marvel Studios live-action film in the Marvel Cinematic Universe to feature Jean Grey, then the market resolves to Yes.

For the purposes of this Contract, Sadie Sink satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Sadie Sink is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform Jean Grey in The first Marvel Studios live-action film in the Marvel Cinematic Universe to feature Jean Grey, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Sadie Sink appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as Jean Grey in any official performance, showing, or release of The first Marvel Studios live-action film in the Marvel Cinematic Universe to feature Jean Grey. Additional clarification(s): If The first Marvel Studios live-action film in the Marvel Cinematic Universe to feature Jean Grey is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Sadie Sink was officially announced in Jean Grey, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for Jean Grey (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Sadie Sink is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) The first Marvel Studios live-action film in the Marvel Cinematic Universe to feature Jean Grey is cancelled or completes its run without Sadie Sink being announced or performing in Jean Grey, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for Jean Grey.

timeline

opened · Jan 13, 2026opencloses · Jan 1, 2028

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