What is the current probability for "FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?": Randy Fine, ≥50% 76%, Randy Fine, 40-50% 14%, Randy Fine, 30-40% 6% (top 3 of 10 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/18/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY06R. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event10 outcomes

FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?

·Elections·ends Aug 18, 2027

vol cum

$37.1k

vol 24h

$17.4k

outcomes

ends

Aug 18, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 10

marketselected outcome

Randy Fine, ≥50%

rank #1

United States

76¢

▼ 9.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$4.5k

vol 24h

$1.1k

spread

0.04

ends

Aug 18, 2027

If the margin of victory for Randy Fine in the 2026 FL-06 Republican primary falls within 50% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · May 9, 2026opencloses · Aug 18, 2027

Randy Fine, ≥50% · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history