What is the current probability for "Florida Republican governor primary: 2nd place"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Florida Republican governor primary: 2nd place": James Fishback 57%, Jay Collins 42%, Paul Renner 7% (top 3 of 5 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/18/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYPLACE-KXGOVFLNOMR-2. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event5 outcomes

Florida Republican governor primary: 2nd place

·Elections·ends Aug 18, 2027

vol cum

$159.7k

vol 24h

$23.1k

outcomes

ends

Aug 18, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

James Fishback

rank #1

United States

57¢

▲ 27.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$67.9k

vol 24h

$13k

spread

0.01

ends

Aug 18, 2027

If James Fishback finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Apr 15, 2026opencloses · Aug 18, 2027

James Fishback · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history