pdatanews

What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?

“2.5°C to 2.9°C” 57% (-6pp in 24h), “2.0°C to 2.4°C” 39% (+17pp in 24h) and “At least 3.0°C” 3% (-10pp in 24h) on Kalshi as of 15:44 UTC on 13 Nov 2026: “2.5°C to 2.9°C” leads “What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?” out of 5 outcomes. The event has $18.1k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi, Gemini and Opinion.

Kalshi·Climate and Weather·ends Aug 15, 2027
event5 outcomes
vol cum
$171.3k
vol 24h
$18.1k
outcomes
5
ends
Aug 15, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
marketselected outcome
2.5°C to 2.9°C
rank #1
57¢
▼ 6.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$48.7k
vol 24h
$2.4k
spread
0.02
ends
Aug 15, 2027

If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is between 2.5 and 2.9°C, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Jun 24, 2026opencloses · Aug 15, 2027
2.5°C to 2.9°C · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata