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Will SCOTUS allow First Step Act halfway-house claims under §2241?

Kalshi·Politics
United States
66%
vol cum
$600
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.07
ends
Aug 1, 2028
Yes 66¢
No 34¢

If the Supreme Court, in Maxwell v. Thomas, rules a claim concerning the application of First Step Act time credits seeking accelerated transfer to a halfway house or home confinement may be brought through a habeas petition under 28 U.S.C. § 2241, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that a claim regarding the application of time credits under the First Step Act of 2018, seeking accelerated transfer to a halfway house or home confinement, can be brought in a habeas petition under 28 U.S.C. § 2241 after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. The market resolves to No if the Court rules that such a claim cannot be brought under § 2241, dismisses the case or certiorari as improvidently granted, or remands or otherwise disposes of the case without resolving that question on the merits.

timeline
opened · Jul 24, 2026opencloses · Aug 1, 2028
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