Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is terminated?
As of 02:12 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is terminated?” at 35%. The market has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold.
If the Supreme Court, in Wassily v. Blanche, rules termination of a noncitizen’s asylum does not categorically bar that person from seeking adjustment to lawful permanent resident status under 8 U.S.C. § 1159(b), then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that noncitizens who were granted asylum, but whose asylum was later terminated, are not categorically ineligible for adjustment to lawful permanent resident status under 8 U.S.C. § 1159(b), after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. The market resolves to No if the Court holds that such noncitizens are categorically ineligible. If the Court dismisses the writ as improvidently granted, dismisses the case, remands without resolving this question, or otherwise disposes of the case without a merits ruling on this issue, the market resolves to No.
