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If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?

Manifold·Politics
United States
12%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M54.2k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2027
YES 12¢
NO 88¢

This market resolves yes if Donald Trump appoints a Supreme Court Justice between his inauguration and January 1st, 2027. Only a justice who is confirmed by the Senate counts. If Donald Trump is not re-elected, this market resolves N/A. May differ from the same Biden conditional market due to different probabilities of also controlling the Senate and strategically timed retirements. See here for the market on if Biden wins: (https://manifold.markets/embed/ManifoldPolitics/if-harris-wins-will-she-appoint-ano)

timeline
opened · Mar 10, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2027
If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027? · prices over time
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