marketsingle market
If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?
United States
12%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M54.2k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2027
YES 12¢
NO 88¢
This market resolves yes if Donald Trump appoints a Supreme Court Justice between his inauguration and January 1st, 2027. Only a justice who is confirmed by the Senate counts. If Donald Trump is not re-elected, this market resolves N/A. May differ from the same Biden conditional market due to different probabilities of also controlling the Senate and strategically timed retirements. See here for the market on if Biden wins: (https://manifold.markets/embed/ManifoldPolitics/if-harris-wins-will-she-appoint-ano)
timeline
opened · Mar 10, 2024opencloses · Jan 1, 2027