If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?
As of 19:52 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Manifold prices “If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?” at 15%. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Manifold, Kalshi and Limitless.
This market resolves yes if Donald Trump appoints a Supreme Court Justice between his inauguration and January 1st, 2027. Only a justice who is confirmed by the Senate counts. If Donald Trump is not re-elected, this market resolves N/A. May differ from the same Biden conditional market due to different probabilities of also controlling the Senate and strategically timed retirements. See here for the market on if Biden wins: (https://manifold.markets/embed/ManifoldPolitics/if-harris-wins-will-she-appoint-ano)
