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event15 outcomes

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?

Kalshi·Elections·ends Feb 1, 2029

As of 17:23 UTC on 3 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 15 markets in “How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?” on Kalshi are “At least 50” at 78% (+9pp in 24h), “At least 48” at 77% and “At least 52” at 51%. The event has $852 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket.

vol cum
$1.7k
vol 24h
$852
outcomes
15
ends
Feb 1, 2029
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 15
marketselected outcome
At least 50
rank #1
United States
78¢
▲ 9.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$824
vol 24h
$424
spread
0.09
ends
Feb 1, 2029

If the Democratic Party holds at least 50 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Oct 31, 2026opencloses · Feb 1, 2029
At least 50 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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