event6 outcomes

Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?

Kalshi·Politics·ends Jan 8, 2035

As of 06:22 UTC on 23 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 6 markets in “Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?” on Kalshi are “Before Jan 1, 2035” at 38%, “Before Jan 1, 2033” at 32% and “Before Jan 1, 2031” at 30%. The event has no Kalshi-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold.

vol cum

$47.2k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Jan 8, 2035

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 6

marketselected outcome

Before Jan 1, 2035

rank #1

38¢

vol cum

$11.4k

vol 24h

spread

0.01

ends

Jan 8, 2035

If the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads is confirmed after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · May 27, 2026opencloses · Jan 8, 2035

Before Jan 1, 2035 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history