Question 1

What is the current probability for "Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries?"?

Accepted Answer

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries?" are Marsha Blackburn 23%, John Rose 8%, Spencer Pratt 3% — 3 of 16 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 8/11/2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXTRUMPENDORSE-26SEP15. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Who will Trump endorse in the 2026 primaries?

similar markets