marketsingle market
Will Tucker Carlson form a third party this year?
United States
55%
▲ 35.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$2.6k
vol 24h
$1.2k
spread
0.43
ends
Jan 8, 2027
Yes 55¢
No 45¢
If a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
timeline
opened · Aug 17, 2026opencloses · Jan 8, 2027