Will Ninja reach at least 10k Twitch subscribers this year?
As of 14:33 UTC on 11 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will Ninja reach at least 10k Twitch subscribers this year?” at 7%. The market has $20 in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.
If Ninja's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 10000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Active paid Twitch subscribers includes Tier 1 subscriptions (including Prime Gaming), Tier 2, and Tier 3 subscriptions, all counted as single subscriptions without weighting. Gift subscriptions that are currently active are included. Followers, expired subscriptions, channel points, bits, and viewers are NOT included. Only the primary Twitch channel specified at issuance is considered. If the channel is banned or deleted before the deadline, the contract resolves based on the last verifiable peak achieved. The highest subscriber count achieved at any single moment during the period determines resolution. Channel username changes are tracked by unique channel ID and do not affect the market.
