opentrade on 
↗
↗event14 outcomes
How high will unemployment get in 2026?
·Economy·ends Mar 9, 2027vol cum
$791.3k
vol 24h
$22.3k
outcomes
14
ends
Mar 9, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 14
marketselected outcome
Above 4.5%
rank #1
15¢
▼ 3.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$30.2k
vol 24h
$176
spread
0.01
ends
Mar 9, 2027
If any U.S. seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate for a month in 2026 is above 4.5%, the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Jun 22, 2026opencloses · Mar 9, 2027
Above 4.5% · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdata
geminiHow high will unemployment get in 2026?
Above 10%93¢Above 5%10¢Above 6%4¢
+3 others
$0 24h · 6 markets
polymarketHow high will US unemployment go in 2026?
5.0%9¢▼ 0.3pp5.5%7¢▼ 0.3pp6.0%6¢· 0.0pp
+2 others
$0 24h · 5 markets
kalshiHow high will unemployment get before 2030?
Above 6%87¢· 0.0ppAbove 5%94¢Above 7%73¢· 0.0pp
+7 others
$1 24h · 10 markets
opinionHow high will the US inflation get in 2026?
Above 5%90¢· 0.0ppAbove 6%45¢· 0.0ppAbove 8%6¢· 0.0pp
+3 others
$907 24h · 6 markets
US recession in 2026?
yes7¢▼ 0.1pp
M22 24h · 1 market
limitlessUS recession by end of 2026?
yes10¢· 0.0pp
$0 24h · 1 market