Question 1

What is the current probability for "UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

pdata aggregates live probability data for "UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?" from kalshi. See the markets list on this page for current values, refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 1/7/2027.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXUFCLIGHTWEIGHTTITLE-26. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

Markets

Ilia Topuria

Arman Tsarukyan

Justin Gaethje

Paddy Pimblett

Islam Makhachev

Benoit Saint-Denis

Alexander Volkanovski

Charles Oliveira

Dan Hooker

Mateusz Gamrot

Max Holloway