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event3 outcomes
Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline?
vol cum
$4.2k
vol 24h
$4.2k
outcomes
3
ends
Jan 8, 2027
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marketselected outcome
Before Nov 1, 2026
rank #1
United StatesChina
52¢
▲ 52.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$1.9k
vol 24h
$1.9k
spread
0.34
ends
Nov 8, 2026
If the governments of the United States and China have formally announced an agreement to establish, or have implemented, a bilateral notification mechanism for AI incidents that could affect national security after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Sep 22, 2026opencloses · Nov 8, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026 · prices over time
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