Will Utah's House Price Index exceed 722.63 in Q4 2026?
As of 22:53 UTC on 14 Oct 2026, Kalshi prices “Will Utah's House Price Index exceed 722.63 in Q4 2026?” at 44% (-11pp in 24h). The market has $2.6k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Kalshi, Manifold, Opinion, Limitless, Polymarket and Predict.
If FHFA reports Utah’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 is above 722.63, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution will use the Utah (UT) Q4 2026 index_sa value in FHFA’s Purchase-Only State HPI dataset from the first FHFA quarterly release containing Q4 2026 data. The strike of 722.63 is fixed and will not change if FHFA subsequently revises its Q4 2025 index value. Subsequent revisions to the first-published Q4 2026 value will not affect resolution.
