Question 1

What is the current probability for "Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

Current Kalshi odds for "Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?": Delcy Rodríguez 90%, María Corina Machado 5%, Nicolás Maduro 2% (top 3 of 8 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 1/8/2027.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXVENEZDEFACTO-27JAN01. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

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