What is the current probability for "Minnesota Senate winner?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Minnesota Senate winner?": Peggy Flanagan 91%, Michele Tafoya 10% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Nov 3, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/SENATEMN-26. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Minnesota Senate winner?

·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

vol cum

$479.4k

vol 24h

$21.2k

outcomes

ends

Nov 3, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Peggy Flanagan

rank #1

United States

91¢

▼ 0.8pp

24h change

vol cum

$168.1k

vol 24h

$1.2k

spread

0.01

ends

Nov 3, 2027

If a representative of the Democratic (DFL) party is sworn in as a Senator of Minnesota for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Dec 4, 2024opencloses · Nov 3, 2027

Peggy Flanagan · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history