Who will win Minnesota's 2026 Senate Election?
As of 09:53 UTC on 21 Oct 2026, “Peggy Flanagan” leads “Who will win Minnesota's 2026 Senate Election?” on Manifold at 88% (-1pp in 24h), followed by “Michele Tafoya” at 11% (+1pp in 24h) and “Tim Walz” at 0%, out of 7 outcomes. The event has M$112 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world matches it to “Which party will win the Minnesota State Senate in 2026?” on Polymarket, an event with 9 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Polymarket, Manifold, Kalshi, Opinion and Gemini.
Incumbent Democratic Senator from Minnesota Tina Smith, whose seat is up for re-election in 2026, has surprisingly decided not to seek reelection. Who will replace her as Minnesota Senator? Feel free to add answers, especially since the candidate field has yet to be determined at time of market creation. Question will be resolved upon the results of the general election becoming known. I may bet in this market.
