What is the current probability for "OpenAI IPO by __?"?

Current Limitless odds for "OpenAI IPO by December 31, 2026?": December 31, 2026 18%, September 30, 2026 4%, August 31, 2026 1% (top 3 of 5 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 12/31/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from limitless's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/limitless/10007039. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Limitless

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event5 outcomes

OpenAI IPO by __?

·Crypto·ends Dec 31, 2026

vol cum

$63.8k

vol 24h

outcomes

ends

Dec 31, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

December 31, 2026

rank #1

18¢

▲ 0.5pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.1k

vol 24h

spread

n/a

ends

Dec 31, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

timeline

opened · May 27, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2026

December 31, 2026 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history