pdatanews269
event4 outcomes

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Limitless·Politics·ends Jan 1, 2027

As of 03:39 UTC on 16 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 4 markets in “Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?” on Limitless are “September 30” at 50%, “August 31” at 50% and “December 31” at 15%. The event has no Limitless-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?” on Polymarket, an event with 13 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Limitless.

vol cum
$0
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
4
ends
Jan 1, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
LimitlessPolitics
marketselected outcome
September 30
rank #1 · closed
Yemen
50¢
vol cum
$0
vol 24h
$0
spread
n/a
ends
Jan 1, 2027

<p>This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.</p><p><br></p><p>This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.</p><p><br></p><p>If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.</p><p><br></p><p>Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.</p><p><br></p><p>The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at <a href="https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c</a>.</p>

timeline
opened · Oct 10, 2026closedresolved · Oct 6, 2026
September 30 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

similar markets

suggested by pdata