This market resolves YES once the probability has remained below 1% for 24 hours.
Yes 54% on Manifold as of 21:52 UTC on 8 Nov 2026 for “This market resolves YES once the probability has remained below 1% for 24 hours.”. The market has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Manifold, Kalshi, Polymarket and Predict.
Manifold·Other
marketsingle market
54%
vol cum
M10.6k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Dec 31, 2040
YES 54¢
NO 46¢
No resolution rules provided by manifold yet.
timeline
opened · Oct 6, 2022opencloses · Dec 31, 2040
