If James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Manifold·Elections

United States

As of 00:42 UTC on 2 Nov 2026, Manifold prices “If James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Texas Senate race in 2026?” at 70%. The market has M$472 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Kalshi, Manifold and Polymarket.

Exactly what it sounds like. N/A if Talarico loses the Dem nomination. See this market for Crockett: https://manifold.markets/bens/if-jasmine-crockett-wins-the-texas