Who will win the 2026 Senate Election in Texas?
As of 02:34 UTC on 16 Oct 2026, “James Talarico” leads “Who will win the 2026 Senate Election in Texas?” on Manifold at 61% (-2pp in 24h), followed by “Ken Paxton” at 39% (+2pp in 24h) and “John Cornyn” at 0%, out of 7 outcomes. The event has M$707 in Manifold-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 20 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Kalshi, Opinion and Gemini.
Resolution criteria The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas will be held on November 3, 2026. The winner will be determined by the candidate who receives the most votes in the general election. Primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026. The market resolves to whichever candidate wins the general election. Results can be verified at Texas Secretary of State Elections Division or major news outlets covering the election results.
