opentrade on 
↗
event6 outcomes
Who will win Texas’ U.S. Senate race in 2026? (Nov 3 general election)
vol cum
M43.3k
vol 24h
M8
outcomes
6
ends
Nov 4, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 6
This market resolves to the candidate certified by the Texas Secretary of State as the winner of the November 3, 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election. If a recount, legal challenge, or delay occurs, resolution is based on the final certified result. Update 2026-02-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Primary election handling: Candidates who lose their primary will be resolved to No, since they cannot appear in the November 3 general election in Texas.
us-politicselectionspolitics-defaultus-congress2026-us-congressional-elections
marketselected outcome
Ken Paxton
rank #1
United States
57¢
▲ 1.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M9.2k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Nov 4, 2026
timeline
opened · May 19, 2026opencloses · Nov 4, 2026
Ken Paxton · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdataWho will win the 2026 Senate Election in Texas?
Ken Paxton61¢▲ 3.8ppJames Talarico39¢▼ 3.8ppJohn Cornyn0¢· 0.0pp
+4 others
M305 24h · 7 markets
polymarketTexas Senate Election Winner
Ken Paxton (R)56¢· 0.0ppJames Talarico (D)44¢▲ 2.0ppPerson A—
+10 others
$1.8k 24h · 13 markets
kalshiTexas Senate winner?
Ken Paxton58¢· 0.0ppJames Talarico42¢▼ 1.0pp
$21.5k 24h · 2 markets
geminiTexas US Senate Winner
Ken Paxton99¢· 0.0ppJames Talarico50¢▲ 4.0ppJohn Cornyn0¢
$0 24h · 3 markets
opinionWhich party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
Republican Party55¢· 0.0ppDemocratic Party50¢▲ 13.8pp
$8.9k 24h · 2 markets
Which party will win the 2026 Texas Senate race?
Republican party62¢▲ 5.2ppDemocratic party38¢▼ 5.2ppOther0¢· 0.0pp
M3k 24h · 3 markets