Who will win Texas’ U.S. Senate race in 2026? (Nov 3 general election)
As of 20:08 UTC on 16 Oct 2026, “James Talarico” leads “Who will win Texas’ U.S. Senate race in 2026? (Nov 3 general election)” on Manifold at 62%, followed by “Ken Paxton” at 38% and “John Cornyn” at 0%, out of 6 outcomes. The event has no Manifold-reported volume in the last 24 hours. pdata.world matches it to “Which party will win the Texas State Senate in 2026?” on Polymarket, an event with 9 outcomes. pdata.world compares it with 21 related events on Manifold, Polymarket, Kalshi, Gemini and Opinion.
This market resolves to the candidate certified by the Texas Secretary of State as the winner of the November 3, 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election. If a recount, legal challenge, or delay occurs, resolution is based on the final certified result. Update 2026-02-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Primary election handling: Candidates who lose their primary will be resolved to No, since they cannot appear in the November 3 general election in Texas.
