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Will we get ASI before 2031?

Manifold·Science and Technology
20%
· 0.0pp
24h change
vol cum
M20.8k
vol 24h
M0
spread
n/a
ends
Mar 1, 2031
YES 20¢
NO 80¢

Artificial Superintelligence (ASI) refers to a level of artificial intelligence that surpasses the cognitive performance of humans in virtually all domains of interest, including scientific creativity, general wisdom, and social skills. Unlike Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), which matches human capabilities, ASI exceeds them, demonstrating superior problem-solving and inventive skills, advanced learning and adaptive capabilities, and unparalleled reasoning and planning abilities. ASI embodies not only the ability to perform tasks that require human-like intelligence but also the capacity to achieve goals with efficiency and effectiveness far beyond human capabilities. It represents an evolution in AI, where machines are not just equal, but distinctly superior to the best human brains in every field, including scientific understanding, general knowledge, and emotional intelligence. Resolves as YES if such a system is created and publicly announced before January 1st 2031 Markets with the same criteria: @/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2027 @/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2028 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2029 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2030 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2031 (this question) @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2032 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2033 @/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2034 @/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2035 @/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2036 Related markets: @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2025 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2026-3d9bfaa96a61 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2027-d7b5f2b00ace @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2028-ff560f9e9346 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2029-ef1c187271ed @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2030 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2031 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2032 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2033 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2034 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2033-34ec8e1d00fd @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2036 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2037 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2038 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2039 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2040 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2041 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2042 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2043 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2044 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2045 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2046 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2047 @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2048 Other questions for 2031: @/RemNi/will-we-get-superconductors-before @/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before @/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-again-onto-the-fa1926d83aec @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before @/RemNi/will-a-significant-ai-generated-mem @/RemNi/will-a-million-humanoid-robots-have @/RemNi/will-we-have-a-cure-for-cancer-befo @/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-20-cbd9e461335b @/RemNi/will-the-dancing-plague-return-befo @/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be @/RemNi/will-ai-extend-english-before-2031 @/RemNi/will-we-get-rouge-ai-before-2031

timeline
opened · Dec 22, 2023opencloses · Mar 1, 2031
Will we get ASI before 2031? · prices over time
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